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北方华创(002371):受益于半导体产业链加速本地化趋势的推动,2024年业绩保持稳健
002371NAURA(002371) 招银国际·2025-04-10 07:40

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price raised to 512 RMB, based on a 36 times FY25 forecasted P/E ratio, aligning with the industry average [1][2]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the accelerated localization trend in the semiconductor industry, with a projected revenue growth of 35.1% year-on-year to 29.8 billion RMB in 2024, driven by breakthroughs in integrated circuit equipment and an increase in market share [1][2]. - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted to grow by 44.2% year-on-year to 5.6 billion RMB, with an improved net profit margin of 18.8% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company anticipates a revenue increase of 39.3% year-on-year to 8.2 billion RMB, exceeding consensus expectations [1][2]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY24 is projected at 30.9 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 39.7%, and net profit expected to reach 5.8 billion RMB, reflecting a 48.9% increase [3]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 43.7% in FY24, improving to 44.3% in FY25 [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 10.93 RMB for FY25, with a P/E ratio of 39.4 times [3]. Market Position and Trends - The company has seen a steady increase in market share due to continuous innovation in core product lines, including successful mass production of new products such as capacitive coupling plasma etching equipment and atomic layer deposition equipment [2]. - The report anticipates a 30.8% revenue growth for 2025, driven by ongoing market share gains and new product launches [2]. - The integration within the Chinese semiconductor industry is expected to accelerate, benefiting leading companies like the one under review [2].