Guoxin Securities·2025-04-13 07:43Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the telecommunications industry [5][6]. Core Insights - The "reciprocal tariffs" have disrupted the global trade landscape, benefiting the domestic "Xinchuang" (self-controlled) industry, particularly in servers and chips [2][12]. - The U.S. has exempted certain technology products from tariffs, including communication devices like optical modules, which is expected to alleviate negative impacts from previous tariffs [3][28]. - The report suggests focusing on the Xinchuang sector and overseas optical communication companies while considering the high dividend value of telecom operators [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - The U.S. government announced an increase in tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, prompting a reciprocal response from China [12]. - The Xinchuang industry is expected to thrive as it helps state-owned enterprises reduce reliance on foreign technology, ensuring national strategic security [2][12]. Market Performance Review - The telecommunications index fell by 7.67%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 2.87%, resulting in a relative return of -4.8% [3][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from the Xinchuang initiative and those involved in overseas optical communication, while also highlighting the high dividend potential of major telecom operators like China Mobile and China Telecom [3][4]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - China Mobile: Outperform, last close at 109.79 CNY, market cap 237 billion CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 6.41 CNY [5]. - Zhongji Xuchuang: Outperform, last close at 78.37 CNY, market cap 865.8 million CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 4.68 CNY [5]. - ZTE Corporation: Outperform, last close at 32.08 CNY, market cap 153.5 billion CNY, EPS forecast for 2024E at 1.76 CNY [5].