平安证券晨会纪要-20250414

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - The implementation of the integrated circuit origin recognition standard is a significant policy response to the escalation of US-China trade tensions, which is expected to accelerate the domestic semiconductor industry's localization process [2][8][11] - The origin recognition standard states that the origin of integrated circuits will be determined based on the location of the wafer fabrication plant, emphasizing wafer manufacturing over packaging and testing [8][9] - Domestic wafer foundries like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor are expected to benefit from the return of overseas foundry orders as design companies may shift production to China to avoid US tariffs [10][11] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are suggested in areas with low localization rates and significant market shares held by US companies, particularly in the design segment, with recommendations for companies like Sanan Optoelectronics and Zhaoyi Innovation [2][11] - In the manufacturing segment, SMIC and Hua Hong are highlighted as key players to watch [11] - For CPU and GPU sectors, companies such as Haiguang Information and Loongson Technology are recommended, with a note to monitor Cambrian [11] Group 3: Bond Market Insights - The US bond market has seen a decline in 2Y and 10Y Treasury yields by 34 basis points and 24 basis points respectively, indicating a steepening yield curve amid rising recessionary trades [3][12][13] - High-yield Chinese dollar bonds have performed well, outpacing both domestic and foreign credit bonds due to favorable supply-demand dynamics and a decrease in real estate default risks [3][12][13] Group 4: Fund Strategies - In a low-interest-rate environment, there is an expectation for the development of fixed-income enhancement strategies, particularly focusing on medium-volatility strategies that can adapt to market changes while controlling drawdowns [4][16][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting funds with strong timing capabilities and flexibility to respond to market fluctuations [19][20]