Zhongyuan Securities·2025-04-14 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the media industry, in line with the overall market performance [1] Core Insights - The media sector has underperformed compared to major indices, with a decline of 12.20% from March 14 to April 11, 2025, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 fell by 3.59% and 4.12%, respectively [3][13] - The report suggests focusing on the gaming sector due to its resilience against US-China tariffs and potential for valuation recovery, supported by favorable WTO policies [11][12] - The advertising market is expected to rebound due to government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption, with stable demand from consumer goods clients [12][18] - State-owned publishing companies are highlighted for their high dividend yields and defensive value, with some companies achieving an average dividend yield of over 6% in the past three years [4][7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Focus on the gaming sector, which is expected to recover in valuation due to minimal impact from tariffs and strong domestic demand [11][12] - Monitor the advertising market for cyclical recovery driven by government consumption stimulus policies [12] - Consider state-owned publishing companies for their stable performance and high dividend yields [4][7] Market Review - The media sector's performance from March 14 to April 11, 2025, saw a 12.20% decline, ranking 28th among all sectors [3][13] - The sector's PE ratio as of April 11, 2025, is 26.38, above the historical average of 24.46 [17] Industry News - The Chinese government has implemented a consumption stimulus plan, which includes 30 key tasks aimed at boosting consumer spending [18] - The gaming industry continues to receive support from government policies, with a significant number of game licenses issued in Q1 2025 [11][41] - The advertising market is showing signs of recovery, with notable increases in spending in various sectors [52][54] Monthly Data - In March 2025, the domestic film market generated a box office of 1.925 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.95% year-on-year [21][27] - The gaming market reported a sales revenue of 27.953 billion yuan in February 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3% [37][39] - The advertising market is projected to grow, with a 1.6% increase in overall spending in 2024 [52][54]