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可转债策略周报:以大盘转债做防守-20250415
CMS·2025-04-15 03:31

Group 1: Market Overview - The convertible bond market continued to decline alongside the equity market, with the China Convertible Bond Index dropping by 1.70% to 420.91 points as of April 11, 2025, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.11% to 3,238.23 points [1][11][24] - The trading volume and turnover of convertible bonds saw significant increases, with trading volume rising by 105.0% and turnover increasing by 93.0% to 30,833 million hands and 4,654.56 billion respectively [2][24] - The performance of various sectors varied, with the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, retail, national defense, and food and beverage sectors showing positive performance, while the electrical equipment, communication, machinery, media, and steel sectors experienced the largest declines [19][36] Group 2: Convertible Bond Valuation - The convertible bond premium rate rose to 54.99%, an increase of 20.11% from the previous week, approaching the 50th percentile level of the past 24 years [3][39] - High premium rates were observed in the textile, food and beverage, pharmaceutical, construction materials, and non-bank financial sectors, while lower rates were noted in agriculture, banking, communication, and commercial trade sectors [42] - The pure bond premium rates were higher in the public utility, national defense, automotive, computer, and mining sectors, while lower rates were seen in media, commercial trade, non-bank financial, steel, and banking sectors [42] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - As of April 11, 2025, the total balance of listed convertible bonds was 7,023.16 billion, a decrease of 18.29 billion from the previous week, with a weighted average remaining term of 2.8 years [4][48] - The issuance dynamics included three new convertible bonds listed, with total issuance sizes of 5.00 billion, 0.67 billion, and 0.354 billion respectively, and one bond announced for issuance with a planned size of 1.175 billion [51][52] - Demand for convertible bonds from convertible bond funds continued to rise, with the market value held by these funds reaching 1,688.97 billion, a growth of 15.4% compared to the previous quarter [4][48]