Donghai Securities·2025-04-15 09:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the refrigerant industry, indicating a high level of industry prosperity and suggesting that related companies are likely to see significant profit increases [6][72]. Core Insights - In March 2025, refrigerant prices continued to rise, with R32, R125, and R134a prices reaching 47,000 CNY/ton, 45,000 CNY/ton, and 46,500 CNY/ton respectively, marking increases of 5.62%, 2.27%, and 3.33% compared to the end of February [6][14]. - The production of household air conditioners is expected to maintain a year-on-year growth trend, with production volumes projected at 24 million units in April, 23.9 million in May, and 21.3 million in June, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 9.10%, 13.00%, and 15.90% respectively [6][38]. - The long-term contract prices for refrigerants R32 and R410a have significantly increased, with R32 rising to 46,600 CNY/ton and R410a to 47,600 CNY/ton, both reflecting increases of 6,000 CNY/ton from the first quarter [6][68]. Refrigerant Tracking - The production of R32, R134a, and R125 in March 2025 saw significant month-on-month increases, with R32 production up 38.09% and R134a up 46.39% [15]. - The total inventory of R32, R134a, and R125 has shown a month-on-month increase, indicating a recovery in supply levels [18]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant industry, such as Juhua Co. and Sanmei Co., which are expected to benefit from the ongoing high demand and rising prices [6][72].