电子:美国短期豁免对等关税,把握不确定性下的确定性机会
Shanxi Securities·2025-04-15 11:48

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-A" for the electronic industry [1]. Core Insights - The electronic industry is expected to benefit from short-term tariff exemptions on imports, particularly for sectors previously affected by tariffs, such as the fruit chain and Nvidia chain. However, uncertainties remain due to potential future policy changes [6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic self-sufficiency and innovation within the industry as a long-term investment opportunity, particularly in areas like AI chips, lithography machines, and advanced packaging [6]. Market Overview - The overall market experienced a decline during the week of April 7-11, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 3.11%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 5.13%, and the ChiNext Index by 6.73%. The semiconductor index also dropped by 0.73% [12]. - In contrast, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increased by 10.93%, while the Taiwan Semiconductor Index decreased by 6.27% [12]. - Among sub-sectors, the top performers were analog chip design (+6.04%), semiconductor equipment (+2.23%), and semiconductors (+0.56%) [12]. Stock Performance - The top five gaining stocks included Kaide Quartz (+52.94%), Quartz Co. (+42.01%), Shengbang Co. (+24.65%), Hualing Co. (+21.18%), and Naxin Micro (+21.05%). Conversely, the top five losing stocks were Chen Zhan Optoelectronics (-22.04%), Zhishang Technology (-20.00%), Jingyan Technology (-18.91%), Zhongshi Technology (-18.60%), and Honghe Technology (-18.30%) [23]. Industry News - The report highlights significant industry news, including the announcement of a 34% tariff on U.S. chips starting April 10, 2025, leading to many suppliers pausing quotes and increasing price volatility [4]. - The China Semiconductor Industry Association issued new rules regarding the origin of semiconductor products, which will affect import declarations [58]. - The U.S. announced exemptions from "reciprocal tariffs" for products such as computers, servers, smartphones, and semiconductor manufacturing equipment [58].