Donghai Securities·2025-04-15 12:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the refrigerant industry, indicating a high level of industry prosperity and suggesting that related companies are likely to see significant profit increases [6][73]. Core Insights - In March 2025, refrigerant prices continued to rise, with R32, R125, and R134a prices reaching 47,000 CNY/ton, 45,000 CNY/ton, and 46,500 CNY/ton respectively, marking increases of 5.62%, 2.27%, and 3.33% compared to the end of February [6][14]. - The production of household air conditioners is expected to maintain a year-on-year growth trend, with production volumes projected at 24 million units in April, 23.9 million in May, and 21.3 million in June, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 9.10%, 13.00%, and 15.90% respectively [6][38]. - The long-term contract prices for refrigerants R32 and R410a have significantly increased, with R32 rising to 46,600 CNY/ton and R410a to 47,600 CNY/ton, both reflecting increases of 6,000 CNY/ton from the first quarter [6][68]. Summary by Sections Refrigerant Tracking - As of March 31, 2025, the prices of R32, R125, and R134a were reported at 47,000 CNY/ton, 45,000 CNY/ton, and 46,500 CNY/ton, respectively, with significant month-on-month increases [6][14]. - The production of R32, R134a, and R125 in March 2025 saw a month-on-month increase of 38.09%, 46.39%, and 33.88% respectively, while R134a experienced a year-on-year decline of 12.10% [6][15]. - The total inventory of R32, R134a, and R125 increased by 10.34%, 15.86%, and 12.34% respectively as of March 28, 2025 [6][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant industry, such as Juhua Co., Ltd. and Sanmei Co., Ltd., as well as companies with a complete industrial chain like Jinshi Resources [6][73].