棕榈油：美豆油库存下降，支撑国际油脂，豆油：宏观影响减弱，震荡整理

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the report industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints - The decline in US soybean oil inventory supports international oils and fats. The impact of the macro - environment on soybean oil weakens, and it is in a range - bound consolidation phase [1] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking 3.1.1 Futures - Palm oil主力: Closing price (day session) is 8,720 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.32%, and (night session) is 8,148 yuan/ton with a decline of 6.56%. Trading volume decreased by 177,914 to 296,037 lots, and open interest decreased by 22,181 to 134,408 lots [1] - Soybean oil主力: Closing price (day session) is 7,706 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.36%, and (night session) is 7,708 yuan/ton with an increase of 0.03%. Trading volume decreased by 8,033 to 57,797 lots, and open interest decreased by 6,166 to 137,712 lots [1] - Rapeseed oil主力: Closing price (day session) is 9,255 yuan/ton with a decline of 1.36%, and (night session) is 9,302 yuan/ton with an increase of 0.51%. Trading volume decreased by 2,198 to 273,054 lots, and open interest decreased by 22,875 to 82,760 lots [1] - Malaysian palm oil主力: Closing price is 4,107 ringgit/ton with a decline of 1.51%, and (night session) is 4,121 ringgit/ton with an increase of 0.32% [1] - CBOT soybean oil主力: Closing price is 47.80 cents/pound with an increase of 2.03% [1] 3.1.2 Spot - 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong: Spot price is 9,150 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan/ton [1] - First - grade soybean oil in Guangdong: Spot price is 8,100 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan/ton [1] - Fourth - grade imported rapeseed oil in Guangxi: Spot price is 9,230 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan/ton [1] - Malaysian palm oil FOB price: 1,060 dollars/ton, down 10 dollars/ton [1] 3.1.3 Basis - Palm oil (Guangdong): Basis is 430 yuan/ton [1] - Soybean oil (Guangdong): Basis is 394 yuan/ton [1] - Rapeseed oil (Guangxi): Basis is - 25 yuan/ton [1] 3.1.4 Spreads - Rapeseed - palm oil futures spread: 1,152 yuan/ton, compared with 635 yuan/ton previously [1] - Soybean - palm oil futures spread: - 458 yuan/ton, compared with - 1,050 yuan/ton previously [1] - Palm oil 5 - 9 spread: 586 yuan/ton, compared with 578 yuan/ton previously [1] - Soybean oil 5 - 9 spread: 30 yuan/ton, compared with 36 yuan/ton previously [1] - Rapeseed oil 5 - 9 spread: - 31 yuan/ton, same as before [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - ITS: Malaysia's palm oil exports from April 1 - 15 were 491,984 tons, a 16.95% increase from the same period last month [2] - AmSpec: Malaysia's palm oil exports from April 1 - 15 were 450,657 tons, a 13.55% increase from the same period last month [2] - Malaysia will keep the crude palm oil export tax at 10% in May and lower the reference price. The May reference price is 4,449.35 ringgit/ton (1,008.47 dollars/ton), compared with 4,547.79 ringgit/ton in April [4] - NOPA: US soybean crushing volume in March increased month - on - month but was lower than market expectations. The daily average crushing volume declined for the third consecutive month. The March soybean crushing volume was 194.551 million bushels, a 9.4% increase from February but a 0.9% decrease from March 2024. The soybean oil inventory at the end of March was 1.498 billion pounds, a 0.2% decrease from the end of February and a 19.1% decrease from the same period last year [5] - Anec: Brazil's soybean exports in April are expected to reach 14.5 million tons, higher than last week's forecast. If confirmed, it will be about 1 million tons more than last year but lower than the record in March. Brazil's soybean meal exports in April are expected to reach 2.4 million tons, higher than last week's forecast [6] - IMEA: The soybean crushing profit in Mato Grosso from April 7 - 11 was 655.59 reais/ton, up from 635.63 reais/ton the previous week [6] - Ukraine experienced severe cold snaps and frosts in early April, almost halting the development of grain crops. Rapeseed may be the most affected, with the 2025 harvest possibly at a three - year low, a potential 8% decrease to 3.39 million tons. Rapeseed exports in the 2025/26 season may also decline by 13% to 2.7 million tons [7] 3.3 Trend Intensity - Palm oil trend intensity is 0, and soybean oil trend intensity is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [8]