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华鑫期货每日晨报-20250416
Hua Xin Qi Huo·2025-04-16 09:21

Macro and Industry - The first batch of technology-themed funds has revealed their adjustment trends, with fund companies like Yongying, Zhongou, and Changcheng continuing to increase their positions in the AI industry chain in the first quarter, focusing heavily on information technology and manufacturing sectors [3] - Fund managers predict that the commercialization breakthrough of AI agents is accelerating, while the continuous iteration of large models is underestimated, and the mass production and short-term growth capabilities of humanoid robots are overestimated [3] Capital Markets - A-shares rebounded from a low point, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.15% at 3267.66 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index saw slight declines of 0.27% and 0.13% respectively. The banking sector saw collective gains, and consumer stocks remained active [4] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.23% to 21466.27 points, marking six consecutive days of gains, while the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 0.67% [4] - The US stock indices experienced slight declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.38% at 40368.96 points, and the S&P 500 down 0.17% at 5396.63 points. Notably, Boeing and Caterpillar led the declines in the Dow [5] Commodity Market - The IEA's monthly report has lowered the global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 to 730,000 barrels per day from a previous estimate of 1,030,000 barrels per day, with further slowdown expected in 2026 [7] - Domestic commodity futures saw most contracts decline in the night session, with energy and chemical products generally down, while black metals showed mixed results [8] - The precious metals market saw gold and silver prices rise, with gold reaching a high of 766.74, up 0.73%, driven by rising expectations of interest rate cuts [10][11] Specific Sectors - In the black metal sector, rebar and hot-rolled coil prices showed slight declines, with current steel demand remaining weak due to ongoing contraction in the real estate sector [11] - The agricultural products market saw fluctuations, with soybean meal prices declining while palm oil prices rebounded due to stable export tax rates [11] - The oil market continued to experience sideways movement, with geopolitical and fundamental factors being closely monitored [12]