SDF(605006) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-04-17 00:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][3] Core Views - The company turned a profit in Q4 2024, with performance expected to stabilize and recover due to price recovery in the fiberglass industry [1][3] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.006 billion yuan, a decrease of 9% year-on-year, while net profit is expected to be 44 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant recovery from a loss of 99 million yuan in 2024 [1][3] - The fiberglass industry is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with gradual price recovery and improved supply-demand dynamics anticipated [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.006 billion yuan, down 21% from 2023, with a net profit of -99 million yuan [1][3] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 2.393 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19% [1][3] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 123 million yuan in 2026 and 169 million yuan in 2027, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [1][3] Business Segments - The fiberglass segment faced challenges, with a sales volume of 443,300 tons in 2024, down 8.1% year-on-year, and an average selling price of approximately 3,499 yuan per ton, a decrease of 6.7% [3] - The company’s power and heat business performed well, with a revenue of 440 million yuan in 2024, up 18.6% year-on-year, and a significant increase in power sales volume [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement by upgrading older production lines and investing in new, larger-scale production lines [3] - A share buyback plan was announced, with the company intending to repurchase shares worth between 50 million and 100 million yuan to support employee stock ownership plans [3] Market Outlook - The fiberglass industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in pricing, with the average price of direct winding yarn in Q1 2025 projected at 3,645 yuan per ton, up 12.9% year-on-year [3] - The company is also planning to enhance its product offerings to enter international markets, particularly in high-modulus and ultra-high-modulus wind power yarns [3]