Workflow
爱柯迪(600933):深度报告:精密铝压铸龙头,全球化+机器人齐驱

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of automotive aluminum precision die-casting parts in China, with a focus on expanding into the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector. The revenue from NEV products is expected to grow significantly, targeting 30% by 2025 and 70% by 2030 [1][27]. - The aluminum alloy market for automotive applications in China is projected to grow from approximately 182.85 billion in 2023 to 334.11 billion by 2030, with a CAGR exceeding 9% [2]. - The company has a strong management capability and aims to replicate its success in small die-casting parts to larger components, opening new growth opportunities [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has shown steady growth over the past five years, with a CAGR of 17% in revenue and 13.5% in net profit from 2019 to 2024. The traditional product line includes small die-casting parts for steering and wiper systems, while expanding into larger components for NEVs [1][19]. Industry Analysis - The automotive lightweighting trend driven by electrification is expected to expand the aluminum die-casting market. The penetration rates for aluminum in vehicle chassis and body are projected to reach 94% and 14% respectively by 2030 [2][46]. - The competitive landscape in the aluminum die-casting industry is fragmented, with the top five companies holding a combined market share of only 11.9% in 2023, indicating potential for leading firms to gain market share through technological and scale advantages [2][61]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a robust management system that has historically led to high product value and profitability. The transition to larger die-casting parts is expected to leverage this management expertise, creating new growth avenues [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 82.6 billion in 2025 to 118.4 billion in 2027, with net profits projected to rise from 11.8 billion to 18.05 billion in the same period. The estimated EPS for these years is 1.20, 1.53, and 1.83 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12, 9, and 8 [5][6].