Tianqin Equipment(SZ:300922) China Post Securities·2025-04-18 01:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company, Tianqin Equipment, has evolved from a single protective function product to a comprehensive defense product supplier, with a significant focus on ammunition packaging and protective devices [4][12]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for ammunition packaging, with a projected market space of approximately 6 billion yuan in China [4][58]. - The company is expanding into missile packaging, which is anticipated to provide long-term growth drivers [4][55]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Tianqin Equipment was founded in 1996 and went public on the ChiNext board in 2020, initially focusing on moisture-proof seals for ammunition and gradually expanding its product range to include various defense equipment components [4][12]. - The company's main products include specialized protective devices and equipment components, with specialized protective devices accounting for 89% of revenue in 2024 [18]. Financial Performance - The company's performance bottomed out in 2022, with a recovery and growth expected in 2023 and 2024. The projected net profit for 2024 is 42 million yuan, a 29% increase year-on-year [4][21]. - The company has maintained positive net profits and strong operating cash flow, with cash flow consistently exceeding net profit [21]. Market Opportunity - The ammunition packaging market in China is estimated to be around 120 billion yuan, with packaging costs accounting for 5% of total ammunition costs, leading to a market space of approximately 6 billion yuan [4][30]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increased ammunition consumption due to heightened training intensity and military export trends [41]. Growth Strategy - The company is actively developing missile packaging solutions, which are expected to have a higher value and larger market potential compared to traditional ammunition packaging [55]. - Ongoing projects include various missile protective cases and integrated storage and launch systems, with several prototypes already completed [53][55]. Profit Forecast and Investment Advice - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 85 million, 146 million, and 205 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 104%, 72%, and 40% [4][58]. - The current price-to-earnings ratios are estimated at 37, 21, and 15 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, supporting the "Buy" rating [4][58].