AMEC(688012) Guotou Securities·2025-04-18 02:09Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 234.27 CNY per share, maintaining the rating [5][10]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 9.065 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.73%, driven by breakthroughs in mass production of new equipment such as LPCVD and ALD [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.53% year-on-year to 1.616 billion CNY, primarily due to increased R&D investment and the absence of a one-time gain from the sale of stocks in the previous year [1][10]. - The company is expected to continue its strong revenue growth, with projected revenues of 11.771 billion CNY, 15.262 billion CNY, and 18.680 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.558 billion CNY, up 60.11% year-on-year, and a net profit of 703 million CNY, an increase of 12.24% year-on-year [1]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 41.06%, a decrease of 2.75 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for specialized equipment, spare parts, and other products at 39.80%, 48.18%, and 58.30% respectively [2]. - The company’s R&D expenses increased by 94.31% year-on-year, reflecting its commitment to innovation and platform development [2]. Market Position and Product Development - The company’s etching equipment sales reached approximately 7.277 billion CNY in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 54.72% [3]. - The company has successfully developed and received orders for six types of LPCVD equipment, with total sales of approximately 1.56 billion CNY in 2024 [9]. - A new semiconductor equipment production base is planned in Chengdu with an investment of 30.5 billion CNY, expected to start construction in 2025 and achieve annual sales of 1 billion CNY by 2030 [9]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.430 billion CNY, 3.402 billion CNY, and 4.541 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the domestic substitution trend in the semiconductor industry, which is expected to enhance its market share [10].