Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [33]. Core Insights - The urgency for technological self-reliance in the new situation highlights the potential for the domestic innovation industry to seize new development opportunities. The report suggests focusing on companies with competitive advantages in basic hardware, basic software (databases, operating systems, middleware), and application software [29][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Review - The Shenwan computer sector has seen a cumulative decline of 6.70% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.39 percentage points, ranking 28th among 31 Shenwan primary industries. In April, the sector dropped 8.21%, lagging behind the CSI 300 by 5.25 percentage points. Year-to-date, the sector has decreased by 1.22%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 2.92 percentage points [5][13]. 2. Valuation Situation - As of April 17, 2025, the Shenwan computer sector's PE TTM (excluding negative values) stands at 49.68 times, positioned at the 71.10th percentile over the past five years and the 57.30th percentile over the past ten years [22][26]. 3. Industry News - Key developments include: 1. Chinese lidar brands hold a 92% share of the global market, with RoboSense leading at 26% market share [25]. 2. ByteDance's new model reduces reasoning costs by 50% compared to DeepSeek R1 [25]. 3. Henan province aims for a computing power scale exceeding 120 EFlops by 2027 [25]. 4. The first national standard for cloud supercomputing has been released [25]. 5. OpenAI launched the GPT-4.1 series models, which are seen as a significant upgrade [25]. 4. Company Announcements - Notable announcements include: 1. Chengdi Xiangjiang won a bid for an AI data center project worth approximately 595.41 million yuan [27]. 2. Desay SV plans to repurchase shares worth 300 million to 600 million yuan [27]. 3. Jiechuan Intelligent expects a net profit of 12 million to 17 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking a significant year-on-year increase [27]. 4. Nasda reported a revenue of 26.415 billion yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 749 million yuan [27]. 5. Donghua Software reported a total revenue of 13.323 billion yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 499.7 million yuan [27]. 5. Weekly Perspective - The resurgence of international trade frictions emphasizes the urgency for China to achieve technological self-reliance, potentially accelerating the domestic substitution process. The report recommends focusing on companies with competitive advantages in foundational hardware and software [29][30]. 6. Recommended Companies - The report highlights several companies to watch, including: 1. GuoDian YunTong (002152.SZ) for its stable growth in fintech and deepening layout in data elements and computing power [31]. 2. Digital China (000034.SZ) as a core partner in the "Kunpeng + Ascend" industrial chain [31]. 3. Inspur Information (000977.SZ) for its focus on cloud computing and AI [31]. 4. Tax Friend (603171.SH) for its leading position in fiscal information services [31]. 5. Softcom Power (301236.SZ) for its role in the Harmony ecosystem [31].
计算机行业双周报(2025、4、4-2025、4、17):新形势下凸显科技自立自强紧迫性,信创产业或迎来发展新机遇-20250418
Dongguan Securities·2025-04-18 09:06