东莞证券财富通每周策略-20250418

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index continued its rebound, with a weekly increase of 1.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.54%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.64% [1][3][9] - The banking, real estate, comprehensive, coal, and oil sectors performed well, while machinery, automotive, computer, agriculture, and defense sectors lagged behind [1][3][9] Economic Analysis - The first quarter of 2025 saw a strong economic performance, with GDP growth of 5.4%, exceeding market expectations and laying a solid foundation for the annual growth target of 5% [10][11] - March economic data showed industrial value-added growth of 7.7% year-on-year, while fixed asset investment increased by 4.2% [10][11] - Exports in March grew by 13.5% year-on-year, significantly outperforming expectations, while imports decreased by 3.5% [11][19] Policy and Market Support - There is an expectation for new incremental policies to be introduced soon, with various parties actively working to stabilize the capital market [12][13] - The People's Bank of China has indicated a willingness to lower reserve requirements and interest rates if necessary, which is expected to support market stability [12][13] - Central enterprises have announced stock buybacks and increases in shareholdings, contributing to market confidence [12][13] Sector Focus - Recommended sectors for investment include finance, food and beverage, public utilities, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) [12][14]