兴蓉环境（000598）：量价齐升驱动业绩成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 7.55 [6][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 9.049 billion in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 11.90%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.996 billion, up 8.28% year-over-year [1][2]. - The growth in revenue and profit is driven by increased business volume, price adjustments, and operational efficiency improvements in its main business segments [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027, supported by increased operational capacity and price hikes [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's wastewater treatment revenue reached RMB 3.641 billion, up 20.4% year-over-year, driven by a 9.72% increase in wastewater treatment volume to 138.4 million tons and higher treatment prices in Chengdu [2]. - The water supply revenue was RMB 2.626 billion, a 7.3% increase, with sales volume of 1.15 billion tons, and a gross margin increase of 1.11 percentage points to 45.57% [2]. - The revenue from waste incineration power generation was RMB 774 million, with a gross margin of 48.1%, reflecting a 7.9 percentage point increase [2]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company reported an increase in R&D expenses to RMB 53 million, primarily due to more R&D projects [3]. - Financial expenses rose to RMB 391 million, mainly due to interest expenses from completed projects [3]. - The net operating cash flow for 2024 was RMB 3.681 billion, an increase of 8.61% year-over-year, with a dividend per share (DPS) of RMB 0.187, up 10% year-over-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected EPS of RMB 0.74, RMB 0.81, and RMB 0.88 for the respective years, reflecting downward adjustments of 6% and 8% for 2025 and 2026 [4]. - The target price of RMB 7.55 is based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.2 times for 2025, aligning with the average PE of comparable companies [4][11].