DOUBLE ARROW(SZ:002381) Guohai Securities·2025-04-18 11:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high revenue of 7.79 billion yuan in Q4 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.99% [6][8] - The company continues to solidify its market share despite a challenging economic environment and increased competition, with a total revenue of 27.13 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.64% [7][11] - The company is focusing on accelerating project construction and expanding production capacity, particularly with the TianTai project, which is progressing steadily [10][11] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.54 billion yuan, a decrease of 36.49% year-on-year [5][7] - The sales gross margin for 2024 was 17.63%, down 3.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 5.68%, down 3.72 percentage points year-on-year [5][6] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 0.75 billion yuan, a decline of 37.51% year-on-year, primarily due to increased cash payments to employees [7] Future Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 32.00 billion yuan in 2025, 38.80 billion yuan in 2026, and 45.13 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.41 billion yuan, 3.57 billion yuan, and 4.17 billion yuan respectively [11][13] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.9, 7.4, and 6.3 times respectively, indicating a favorable growth outlook [11][13]