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安图生物(603658):集采降价等政策影响短期业绩,出海+测序等新产品有望带来新增长动力

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][19] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's short-term performance is impacted by policies such as centralized procurement and price reductions, but new products like overseas expansion and sequencing are expected to drive future growth [1][5] - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024, with a total of 4.471 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.62%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 1.89% to 1.194 billion yuan [3][5] - The report anticipates that the company's business will gradually stabilize and recover starting in 2025, following the full implementation of relevant adjustment policies [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 4.444 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0% [2] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.789 billion yuan, 5.747 billion yuan, and 6.837 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 7%, 20%, and 19% [2][5] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 1.251 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5% compared to the previous year [2][5] Cost and Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 was reported at 65.41%, showing a slight increase of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 26.82%, which is a decrease of 0.73 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] - The report highlights that the company has maintained stable expense ratios, with a notable increase in R&D expenses due to investments in new products [5][6] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is expected to face short-term pressure due to price reductions from centralized procurement policies, but it is projected to see a recovery in its business starting in 2025 [5][6] - The report emphasizes the company's commitment to innovation, with R&D expenditures increasing from 12.87% in 2022 to 16.37% in 2024, ensuring product innovation and market competitiveness [5][6] - The company has expanded its global footprint, entering over 100 countries and regions, with overseas revenue reaching 284 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 36.25% [5][6]