Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - As of April 18, 2025, the cumulative transaction volume of China's carbon market has exceeded 40 billion yuan, indicating a strong push towards green development [3][16] - The carbon market is transitioning from free allocation of quotas to a combination of free and paid allocation, which is expected to enhance market effectiveness and promote a virtuous cycle of investment, emission reduction, and returns [3][20][24] - The inclusion of the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries in the carbon market is expected to significantly increase the market's coverage and effectiveness, with the total carbon emissions covered rising from approximately 40% to 60% of the national total [3][25] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The environmental sector index rose by 0.04% as of April 18, 2025, underperforming the broader market, which increased by 1.19% [9] - Sub-sectors such as water governance and air governance showed positive growth, while solid waste management and environmental equipment experienced declines [11] Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the organization of energy efficiency inspections for 2025, focusing on key industries and energy-consuming equipment [26] - The National Energy Administration reported that 200 million green certificates were traded from January to March 2025, with a significant portion occurring in March [28] Investment Recommendations - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes environmental quality and industrial green development, suggesting sustained high demand for energy-saving and recycling industries [34] - Recommended stocks include: Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment; stocks to watch include: Wangneng Environment, Junxin Co., Wuhan Holdings, and others [34]
24年中国碳市场累计成交额突破400亿元,持续推动绿色发展
Xinda Securities·2025-04-20 02:51