如何看待转债资金回流？

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The darkest moment at the bottom may have passed, and the inflection point of the convertible bond market's repair is approaching. With the easing of the tariff storm, the convertible bond market has seen capital inflows, and the approval of convertible bond plans has accelerated, optimizing the supply - demand pattern [1][15]. - In April, it is recommended to focus on high - rating and stable convertible bonds, reduce the export risk exposure in the convertible bond portfolio, and pay attention to infrastructure, domestic economic ballast - type cyclical industries, and hedging and strategic resource industries. Starting from May, technology - independent growth industries are expected to regain market attention [2][19]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Convertible Bond Weekly Special Topic and Outlook 3.1.1 How to View the Return of Convertible Bond Funds - With the easing of the tariff storm, the market has gradually recovered, and convertible bond ETFs have been repurchased. Since April 17, the A - share market has stopped falling and rebounded, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index rising 0.19% on that day. The Bosera Convertible Bond ETF had a net increase of 0.59 billion shares this week, with a circulation scale increase of 495 million yuan [1][10]. - The convertible bond market's bottom may have passed, and the allocation cost - effectiveness is prominent, which is the main reason for the return of funds. The approval of convertible bond plans has accelerated, and the supply - demand pattern is expected to continue to optimize [15]. 3.1.2 Weekly Review and Market Outlook - This week, the three major A - share indexes showed differentiation, with precious metals and cyclical sectors oscillating strongly. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell 0.54% and 0.64% respectively [20][21]. - The current A - share market valuation has rebounded but is still at a relatively low level in the long - term. The risk - return ratio shows good allocation cost - effectiveness. The convertible bond issuance pressure is expected to be low, but attention should be paid to the valuation callback risk. Also, continue to pay attention to the downward - revision game space and be vigilant against the forced - redemption risk [21]. - Industries to focus on include popular themes, domestic - demand directions, central state - owned enterprises under the Chinese - characteristic valuation system, and the military industry [22]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Market Weekly Tracking 3.2.1 Equity Market Differentiation, Defensive Industries such as Banks Strengthen - This week, the equity market had mixed performance. The Wind All - A Index rose 0.39%, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.19%, and the market style was more inclined to large - cap growth. Among the Shenwan industry indexes, 23 industries rose and 8 industries fell, with banks, real estate, and the comprehensive industry leading the gains [25][27]. 3.2.2 Convertible Bond Market Declined, Hundred - Yuan Premium Rate Slightly Decreased - The convertible bond market declined this week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 0.58%, and the average daily trading volume decreased significantly. The average daily trading volume was 52.703 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.389 billion yuan from last week [30]. - In the convertible bond industry, 5 industries rose and 24 industries fell. The corresponding underlying stocks also showed mixed performance, with 13 industries rising and 16 industries falling [33]. - Most individual convertible bonds fell. The top five weekly gainers and losers are listed, as well as the top five in terms of weekly trading volume [36]. - The number of low - price convertible bonds increased, and the median price of convertible bonds decreased. The weighted conversion value of the whole market increased, and the premium rate decreased [39][44]. 3.2.3 High - Frequency Tracking of Different Types of Convertible Bonds - Market Index Performance: All convertible bonds with different parities declined this week. High - parity convertible bonds are more elastic. Among the stock - bond classification, the stock - oriented convertible bonds rose, while the balanced and bond - oriented convertible bonds fell. Historically, stock - oriented convertible bonds are more elastic, and balanced convertible bonds are more resistant to decline. Among different ratings, AAA and A - and below rated convertible bonds rose, and other ratings fell. All convertible bonds in different size segments declined this week [47][49]. - Classification Valuation Changes: The valuations of stock - oriented and balanced convertible bonds declined this week. The valuations of convertible bonds with parities below 80 yuan and between 100 - 110 yuan increased, while most others decreased. The valuations of convertible bonds with different ratings and sizes all declined [53]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Supply and Clause Tracking 3.3.1 This Week's Primary Plan Issuance - One new convertible bond was listed this week, and four are pending listing. The primary approval number was 14. Since the beginning of 2023 to April 18, 2025, there have been 89 planned convertible bonds, with a total scale of 149.534 billion yuan [64][65]. 3.3.2 Downward - Revision and Redemption Clauses - Downward - Revision Clauses: 42 convertible bonds announced the expected trigger of downward - revision, 13 announced no downward - revision, 1 proposed downward - revision, and 2 actually carried out downward - revision [5][69]. - Redemption Clauses: 4 convertible bonds announced the expected trigger of redemption, 3 announced no early redemption, and 2 announced early redemption. As of the end of this week, 2 convertible bonds were still in the put - option declaration period, and 21 were in the company's capital - reduction settlement declaration period [5][78].