Workflow
3月用电增速4.8%,重视煤电升级改造与灵活调节价值
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-04-20 07:42

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electricity sector [3] Core Viewpoints - In March, national electricity consumption growth was 4.8%, with significant growth in the internet and automotive manufacturing sectors [10][12] - The future three-year coal power upgrade action plan emphasizes the importance of coal power upgrades and flexible adjustment capabilities [11][12] Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In March, total electricity consumption reached 828.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. By sector, the first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, consumed 106, 557.8, 148.4, and 111.4 billion kWh respectively, with growth rates of 9.9%, 3.8%, 8.4%, and 5.0% [12][65] - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to March was 23,846 billion kWh, up 2.5% year-on-year [12][66] Power Generation - In March, industrial power generation was 778 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with a narrowing decline in thermal power generation [12][10] - Water and nuclear power generation increased by 9.5% and 23.0% respectively, while wind and solar power generation growth slowed [12][10] Coal Power Upgrade Plan - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration released a new coal power upgrade action plan for 2025-2027, focusing on enhancing existing units and developing new generation units with improved performance indicators [11][12] - Key upgrade requirements include deep peak regulation, load change rates, and clean carbon reduction measures [11][12] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize investment opportunities in the electricity sector, particularly in thermal power stocks such as Huadian International, Waneng Power, and Zhejiang Energy, as well as in leading companies in thermal power upgrade equipment like Qingda Environmental Protection [6][7] - Recommend focusing on undervalued green electricity sectors, including Hong Kong-listed green electricity and wind power operators [6][7]