Minsheng Securities·2025-04-20 08:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies including Three Gorges Energy, Changjiang Electric Power, and China Nuclear Power, while providing a "Cautious Recommendation" for China General Nuclear Power and others [23][24]. Core Insights - The electricity sector outperformed the market, with the public utility sector index rising by 1.77% and the electricity sub-sector by 1.81% during the week ending April 18, 2025 [1][8]. - In Q1 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 662 million green certificates, with a total of 5.617 billion certificates issued by the end of March 2025, indicating a significant increase in green electricity trading [2][25]. - The total electricity consumption in March 2025 reached 828.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with notable growth in the primary and tertiary industries [3][32]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector index closed at 2318.99 points, up 40.42 points, while the electricity sub-sector closed at 3099.51 points, up 54.97 points, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [1][8]. - The thermal power sector showed the best performance with a 2.99% increase, while solar and wind power sectors experienced slight declines [15][20]. Green Certificate Trading - The trading volume of green certificates in the southern region reached 128.9 billion kWh in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 148% [2][25]. - The market price for green certificates remains stable in the range of 1-5 yuan per certificate, influenced by production time, regional supply and demand, and power source types [2][26]. Electricity Consumption Data - In March 2025, the first industry consumed 10.6 billion kWh (up 9.9%), the second industry consumed 557.8 billion kWh (up 3.8%), and the third industry consumed 148.4 billion kWh (up 8.4%) [3][32]. - Cumulative electricity consumption for the first three months of 2025 was 2384.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [32]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend stocks and those with stable performance and relatively low valuations, highlighting companies such as Funiu Co., Changjiang Electric Power, and others [21][22]. - It emphasizes the potential of wind and thermal power assets, recommending Three Gorges Energy and Funiu Co. while cautiously recommending others [22][23].