大炼化周报：关税冲击使市场担忧需求，炼化产品价格走弱-20250420

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" as the industry index is expected to be in line with the benchmark [119]. Core Views - The report indicates that the market is concerned about demand due to tariff impacts, leading to a decline in refining product prices [1]. - Brent crude oil prices have shown a slight increase, with a weekly average of $65.87 per barrel, reflecting a 2.69% increase [2][13]. - Domestic refined oil prices have generally decreased, while overseas prices have seen some increases [1]. - The chemical sector is experiencing price declines due to tariff impacts, despite cost support from raw materials [1]. - The polyester sector is facing strong demand shocks from tariffs, leading to weak price performance despite some cost support from rising crude oil prices [1]. Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The Brent and WTI crude oil prices as of April 18, 2025, were $67.96 and $64.68 per barrel, respectively, both up by $3.2 from the previous week [1][13]. - Domestic refined oil prices for diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel averaged at 6995.43, 8172.14, and 6109.00 yuan per ton, respectively, with declines noted [13]. - The report highlights a slight recovery in trade tensions between the US and China, which may support oil prices [1]. Chemical Sector - The report notes that chemical prices are generally declining, with significant price drops in pure benzene and styrene [1]. - Polyethylene prices are under pressure due to supply-demand imbalances, with average prices for LDPE, LLDPE, and HDPE at 9157.14, 7202.29, and 8242.86 yuan per ton, respectively [46]. - EVA prices have seen a slight increase, averaging 11957.14 yuan per ton [46]. Polyester Sector - PX prices have increased to an average of 5292.29 yuan per ton, supported by rising crude oil prices [72]. - PTA prices have continued to decline, with an average of 4310.71 yuan per ton, reflecting a negative profit margin [85]. - The report indicates that the demand for polyester products is weak due to tariff impacts, leading to price declines [1][83]. Market Performance of Major Refining Companies - The stock performance of six major refining companies as of April 18, 2025, shows varied results, with Rongsheng Petrochemical down by 2.31% and Hengli Petrochemical up by 0.53% [106]. - Over the past month, Rongsheng Petrochemical has decreased by 8.65%, while Hengli Petrochemical has decreased by 3.43% [106].