Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the real estate sector, with specific recommendations for companies that are well-positioned in first-tier and core second-tier cities [7]. Core Insights - The A-share real estate sector saw a weekly increase of +3.4%, ranking second among all sectors, while the Hong Kong real estate sector increased by +2.7%, ranking sixth [26]. - New housing transactions have shown a slight decline, with a total of 278 million square meters sold across 47 cities, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 2% and a year-on-year decrease of 16% [4][47]. - The government is expected to introduce new stimulus policies for the real estate sector by the end of April, aiming to stabilize economic recovery [5][14]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The report highlights that the A-share real estate sector's performance was +3.4%, while the Hong Kong real estate sector's performance was +2.7% [26]. - The top five performing real estate stocks included Jianye Real Estate and Rongfeng Holdings, with increases of +40.5% and +31.9% respectively [26]. Land Transaction Data - In the week of April 12-18, the total area of residential land sold in 300 cities was 286 million square meters, a decrease of 49% week-on-week and 65% year-on-year, with an average premium rate of 5% [40]. - Year-to-date, the total area of residential land sold in 300 cities reached 10,216 million square meters, with a cumulative year-on-year change of -0.1% [40]. New Housing Transactions - The report indicates that new housing sales in 47 cities totaled 278 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 2% and a year-on-year decrease of 16% [4][47]. - First-tier cities experienced a week-on-week increase of 5%, while second-tier cities saw a decrease of 8% [4][47]. Policy Expectations - The report notes that the government is actively pursuing land and stock housing acquisition, with over 4 million square meters of idle land targeted for acquisition, amounting to 128.2 billion yuan [5][14]. - The upcoming Politburo meeting at the end of April is anticipated to be a critical period for the introduction of new real estate policies [5][14]. Real Estate Data Trends - Real estate development investment from January to March 2025 showed a year-on-year decrease of 9.9%, while new construction area decreased by 24.4% [6][15]. - The report indicates that housing prices are stabilizing, with first-tier cities showing a slight increase in second-hand housing prices [6][16].
房地产行业研究:如何理解本轮地产政策预期?