TSP(SZ:300129) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-04-20 12:24Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating to the company, indicating a performance expectation within a range of -5% to 5% relative to the benchmark index [12]. Core Insights - The company is projected to experience significant revenue growth, with estimated revenues increasing from 4,837.84 million yuan in 2024 to 8,688.17 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.52% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 181.96 million yuan in 2024 to 760.20 million yuan in 2027, showcasing a robust growth trajectory with a profit growth rate of 50.64% in 2027 [6][8]. - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 13.83% in 2024 to 18.71% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [6][8]. Financial Forecast Summary Income Statement - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 4,837.84 million yuan in 2024 to 8,688.17 million yuan in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 26.99% in 2025 [6][8]. - The operating profit is projected to increase significantly, reaching 881.27 million yuan by 2027, with a notable recovery from a decline of 38.19% in 2024 to an increase of 82.80% in 2025 [8]. - The net profit margin is expected to rise from 3.76% in 2024 to 8.75% in 2027, reflecting improved profitability [8]. Balance Sheet - Total assets are expected to grow from 9,413.50 million yuan in 2024 to 12,927.81 million yuan in 2027, indicating a healthy expansion of the company's asset base [7]. - The company's total liabilities are projected to increase from 4,920.06 million yuan in 2024 to 7,296.35 million yuan in 2027, with a stable debt management strategy [7]. Cash Flow Statement - The operating cash flow is forecasted to turn positive by 2025, reaching 67.12 million yuan, after a negative cash flow of -380.04 million yuan in 2024 [7]. - The net cash increase is expected to stabilize, with a projected decrease of -256.37 million yuan by 2027, indicating improved cash management [7].