Camel Group(SH:601311) Guoxin Securities·2025-04-21 07:44Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][25]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve stable revenue growth in 2024, with projected revenue of 15.592 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.75%, and a net profit of 614 million yuan, up 7.26% year-on-year [1][8]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas and domestic business, with significant growth in automotive low-voltage lead-acid battery sales and a strong performance in the lithium battery sector [2][3][17]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.90 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a dividend payout ratio of 55.4% [1][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects to achieve a revenue of 15.592 billion yuan, with a net profit of 614 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 593 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 10.75%, 7.26%, and 10.85% respectively [1][8]. - For Q4 2024, the revenue is projected to be 4.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, while the net profit is expected to decline by 26.3% year-on-year [1][8]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company has maintained stable cost control, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios of 5.5%, 2.8%, and 1.9% respectively in Q4 2024 [2][18]. - The gross profit margin for Q4 2024 is reported at 15.6%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points but an increase of 2.2 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][18]. Business Expansion and Market Strategy - The company has expanded its distribution channels significantly, with over 3,400 "You Neng Da" service providers and 120,000 terminal stores across the country [3][17]. - The overseas market has seen a substantial increase, with sales growing approximately 68.49% year-on-year, contributing significantly to overall performance [3][17]. - The company is focusing on upgrading its channels and expanding its lithium battery business, which is expected to provide additional growth opportunities [3][25]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 860 million yuan, 1.065 billion yuan, and 1.257 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.73, 0.91, and 1.07 yuan [4][5][25]. - The company is well-positioned in the low-voltage lead-acid battery market, with significant growth potential in both the aftermarket and overseas markets [25].