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朝闻国盛:工业品价格回落明显
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-04-22 01:29

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant decline in industrial product prices, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [3] - The food and beverage sector is expected to benefit from strong domestic demand, with specific recommendations for investment in leading brands and high-growth products [3] - The construction and decoration industry, particularly Jianghe Group, is positioned for steady expansion and international growth, supported by a robust order backlog [5] - The automotive sector, represented by Guangdong Hongtu, is projected to see stable revenue growth, although profitability recovery remains a concern due to competitive pressures [7] - The computer industry, led by Haiguang Information, is entering a phase of explosive growth driven by advancements in domestic GPU technology [8] - Changdian Technology in the electronics sector is forecasted to achieve record revenue and profit, with advanced packaging technology becoming a significant contributor [9][10] - Sanofi Biologics is expected to maintain steady growth, with ongoing progress in overseas market access for continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) products [11][12] Summary by Sections Industrial Products - The basic frequency index for industrial products stands at 125.1 points, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [3] Food and Beverage - Investment recommendations focus on three main lines: leading brands, high-certainty regional products, and strong recovery candidates [3] Construction and Decoration - Jianghe Group is recognized as a leading brand in high-end curtain walls, with a 57% increase in overseas orders anticipated for 2024 [5] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 6.9, 7.4, and 7.9 billion yuan, with a consistent dividend payout [5] Automotive - Guangdong Hongtu is expected to achieve a revenue of 8.05 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 5.8% year-on-year increase [7] - Profitability is projected to recover gradually, with net profits forecasted at 416 million yuan for 2024 [7] Computer - Haiguang Information reported a 50.76% increase in revenue for Q1 2025, reaching 2.4 billion yuan, with net profits up 75.33% [8] - Future revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 14.671, 18.352, and 22.031 billion yuan [8] Electronics - Changdian Technology's revenue for 2024 is expected to reach 35.96 billion yuan, marking a 21.2% increase [9] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.23 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 38.7% [10] Pharmaceuticals - Sanofi Biologics anticipates a revenue of 4.443 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 9.47% [11] - Future revenue estimates for 2025-2027 are 4.926, 5.483, and 6.125 billion yuan, with corresponding profit growth rates of 19.7%, 20.5%, and 20.3% [12]