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中新集团(601512):业绩承压,长期价值可期
601512CSSD(601512) 华泰证券·2025-04-22 09:24

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 9.25 [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.685 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 26.57%, and a net profit of RMB 637 million, down 53.22% year-on-year, aligning with the company's earnings forecast [1][2] - Despite the decline in net profit due to a sluggish land market and rising costs, the company has ample land reserves and a stable financial position, indicating potential for revenue recovery in the medium to long term [1][2] - The company has expanded its business in Suzhou Industrial Park, with a 92% year-on-year increase in signed construction area, reaching 3 million square meters, and has also increased its distributed photovoltaic power generation capacity by 220 MW [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company experienced a revenue decline of 26.57% and a net profit drop of 53.22% compared to the previous year [1][2] - The company plans to distribute RMB 1.28 per 10 shares [1] - The forecasted EPS for 2025 and 2026 is RMB 0.46 and RMB 0.50 respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at RMB 0.55 [5] Business Development - The company has launched four new investment funds with a total commitment of RMB 160 million and has made four new direct investment projects [4] - The total investment in technology projects has reached RMB 588 million, driving a total investment of RMB 9.7 billion [4] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit in 2025 due to the base effect of non-recurring gains [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the land market and improved market confidence, with a projected PE ratio of 20.1 times for 2025 [5]