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2024年报聚焦:股息率哪家强?
华创证券·2025-04-23 04:13

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the transportation industry, focusing on dividend yield opportunities [2] Core Insights - The transportation sector has shown resilience, with various segments outperforming the CSI 300 index in April 2025, particularly the railway transportation sector [5][10] - The low interest rate environment is favorable for the industry, with government bond yields declining [19] - The report highlights significant increases in trading volumes across all segments, especially in ports, indicating a recovery in market activity [19] - The overall dividend yield for highways, railways, and ports is projected to be in the range of 3%-4%, with coal and banking sectors leading [21] Monthly Market Performance - From April 1 to April 18, 2025, the transportation industry experienced a cumulative decline of 0.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.85 percentage points [9][10] - The railway transportation sector had the best performance, with a cumulative increase of 5.09% during the same period [10] - Year-to-date, the transportation sector has underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a cumulative decline of 4.86% [9] Market Environment - The report notes a continued low interest rate environment, with the 10-year government bond yield at 1.65%, down from 1.81% at the end of March 2025 [19] - Trading volumes have rebounded, with daily average transaction amounts for highways, railways, and ports showing significant year-on-year increases [19] Capital Operations - Anhui Expressway plans to raise HKD 522 million through a share placement to Anhui Transportation Holding Group [23] Highway Sector Tracking - In the first two months of 2025, highway passenger traffic was 1.862 billion trips, a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year, while freight traffic increased by 5.7% to 5.765 billion tons [25] - The report highlights key companies in the highway sector, noting significant revenue and profit changes for companies like Sichuan Chengyu and Ninghu Expressway [32][35][37] Railway Sector Tracking - In March 2025, railway passenger volume reached 337 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, while freight volume was 44.5 million tons, up 2.4% [48] - The report emphasizes the importance of key railway companies and their performance metrics [56] Port Sector Tracking - The report indicates that monitored ports handled 1.048 billion tons of cargo in the past four weeks, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [58] - Container throughput also showed growth, with a total of 9.5617 million TEUs handled year-to-date, reflecting a 9.6% increase [58]