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华锦股份(000059):油价中枢回落,炼化景气度有望改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 34.596 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 25.02%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -2.795 billion yuan, indicating a loss compared to the previous year. The adjusted net profit was -2.898 billion yuan, also reflecting a loss year-on-year [2][6]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 10.096 billion yuan, down 23.35% year-on-year but up 202.56% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -906 million yuan, showing a year-on-year loss but a reduction in loss compared to the previous quarter [2][6]. - The company is focusing on optimizing costs in its refining segment, with significant improvements in operational management and product structure. The processing ratio of light oil was reduced from 16% at the end of 2023 to a minimum of 12-13% [12]. - The company has developed new products, contributing 37.12% to its overall revenue, including innovative grades of polypropylene and high-value industrial oils [12]. - The company operates multiple large-scale chemical platforms, focusing on petrochemicals, fertilizers, and asphalt/lubricants, with a total annual production capacity of 8.3 million tons of crude oil processing and various chemical products [12]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 90 million yuan, 430 million yuan, and 640 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 86.5X, 18.5X, and 12.5X based on the closing price on April 22, 2025 [12].