生猪：现货震荡调整

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is about the pig futures market on April 24, 2025, with the theme of "Pig: Spot price fluctuates and adjusts" [1] Group 2: Fundamental Tracking - Spot prices: Henan's spot price is 14,970 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton; Sichuan's is 14,790 yuan/ton, unchanged; Guangdong's is 15,840 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan/ton [3] - Futures prices: The prices of contracts 2505, 2507, and 2509 are 13,925 yuan/ton, 13,590 yuan/ton, and 14,365 yuan/ton respectively, down 90 yuan/ton, 80 yuan/ton, and 120 yuan/ton [3] - Trading volume and open interest: For contract 2505, the trading volume is 2,661 lots, down 441 lots, and the open interest is 6,114 lots, down 1,502 lots; for 2507, the trading volume is 6,497 lots, up 279 lots, and the open interest is 33,582 lots, down 526 lots; for 2509, the trading volume is 40,409 lots, up 11,328 lots, and the open interest is 79,891 lots, up 1,239 lots [3] - Price spreads: The basis of contracts 2505, 2507, and 2509 are 1,045 yuan/ton, 1,380 yuan/ton, and 605 yuan/ton respectively, up 40 yuan/ton, 30 yuan/ton, and 70 yuan/ton; the spread between 5 - 7 is 335 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton; the spread between 7 - 9 is -775 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan/ton [3] Group 3: Trend Intensity - The trend intensity is 0, indicating a neutral view. The range of trend intensity is [-2, 2], where -2 means most bearish and 2 means most bullish [4] Group 4: Market Logic - After the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, the spot price stopped falling and second - fattening started. Reserve rotation will support the downstream. Group companies are actively selling piglets without the drive to actively sell fattened pigs. The spot price in April still has support. Near - month contracts follow the logic of basis convergence, and attention should be paid to whether far - month contracts trade the logic of price center shift upwards [5] - Before the May Day holiday, both supply and demand increase. The spot price fluctuates and adjusts mainly, lacking a driving force. Wait for the spot price direction after the holiday. Pay attention to stop - loss and take - profit. The support level of the short - term LH2505 contract is 13,000 yuan/ton, and the resistance level is 14,500 yuan/ton [5]