

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Overweight" [6] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the land auction heat in key cities continues to rise, with the average transaction price of residential land in the core 30 cities increasing by 24% year-on-year [4][93] - The total area of residential land transactions in the core 30 cities reached 2,134 million square meters in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with a total transaction value of 279.1 billion yuan, up 44.1% year-on-year [93][100] - The overall premium rate for land transactions in the core 30 cities was 18.7% in Q1 2025, an increase of 11.3 percentage points year-on-year [93][95] Summary by Sections 1. Supply and Demand of Land/Residential Land in 100 Cities - In Q1 2025, the total area of land transactions in 100 cities decreased by 14.8% year-on-year, while the area of residential land transactions increased by 0.1% year-on-year [11][20] - The total supply of residential land in 100 cities was 43.72 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 18.4% [20] 2. Transaction Prices of Land/Residential Land - The average transaction price of residential land in 100 cities was 7,373 yuan per square meter in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [54] - The average transaction price of residential land in the core 30 cities was 13,080 yuan per square meter in Q1 2025, up 24.1% year-on-year [95] 3. Land Acquisition by Top 50 Real Estate Companies - The top 50 real estate companies added land reserves valued at 281.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.7% [2][79] - The top three companies in terms of land reserve value were China Resources Land (32.9 billion yuan), China Overseas Land (29.8 billion yuan), and Greentown China (28.7 billion yuan) [2][86] 4. Transaction Situation of Residential Land in Core 30 Cities - In March 2025, the total area of residential land transactions in the core 30 cities was 888 million square meters, with a total transaction value of 112.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.7% [93][94] - The overall premium rate for land transactions in March 2025 was 23%, an increase of 15.7 percentage points year-on-year [93][94] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with strong comprehensive development capabilities and those actively participating in urban renewal and village renovation projects [4][105] - It also recommends attention to commercial public REITs with rich existing commercial real estate resources and strong brand competitiveness [4][105]