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*ST铖昌(001270):ST铖昌(001270):25Q1业绩反转,全年高增可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 39.45 [7][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant performance reversal in Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 365.26% year-on-year, reaching RMB 0.92 billion, and a net profit of RMB 0.30 billion, up 300% year-on-year [2][5]. - Despite a decline in 2024 due to industry factors affecting delivery schedules, the company's core position and technological advantages remain intact, indicating potential for high growth in 2025 [1][2]. - The company is one of the few in China capable of providing complete T/R chip solutions, with established technology in satellite applications and ongoing expansion into airborne and ground-based phased array systems [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 2.12 billion, down 26.38% year-on-year, and a net loss of RMB 31.12 million, a decline of 139.04% year-on-year [1][6]. - The forecast for 2025-2027 projects net profits of RMB 1.15 billion, RMB 1.84 billion, and RMB 2.57 billion respectively, with a significant increase in 2025 due to improved market conditions [5][6]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is set to deliver next-generation low-orbit communication satellite T/R chips in 2025, which are expected to enhance market share [4]. - Multiple models of remote sensing satellite projects are entering mass delivery phases, and several airborne projects are transitioning to mass production [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s estimated PE ratio for 2025 is 70 times, with a target price set at RMB 39.45, reflecting a downward adjustment from previous estimates due to anticipated high R&D expenses [5][8].