Workflow
中钢国际(000928):毛利率大幅提升,现金流显著改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 8.57 RMB [8][9] Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in gross margin and cash flow, with a gross margin of 14.5% for 2024, up 5.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Despite a decline in revenue of 33.1% year-on-year to 17.6 billion RMB in 2024, the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 9.7% to 835.2 million RMB [1][5] - The company has seen a notable increase in overseas orders, with new contracts signed reaching 19.7 billion RMB, a 2.1% increase year-on-year, and overseas orders accounting for 89% of total new contracts [2] Revenue and Profitability - The company experienced a revenue decline in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenues of 50.4 billion RMB and 35.2 billion RMB respectively, down 45.3% and 28.2% year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin improved to 4.73% in 2024, up 1.85 percentage points year-on-year, despite an increase in the expense ratio to 6.7% [3] Cash Flow and Financial Health - Operating cash flow significantly improved, with a net cash inflow of 1.5 billion RMB in 2024, and a cash flow ratio of 97.6% for receipts and 103.1% for payments [4] - As of Q1 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio decreased to 66.9%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved financial stability [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company is adjusted to 878.4 million RMB for 2025, reflecting a decrease of 9.7% from previous estimates [5] - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14 times for 2025, aligning with the industry average [5][13]