诺泰生物（688076）：受益于GLP-1景气度，业绩持续高增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company benefits from the high demand for GLP-1 peptide drugs, leading to sustained high growth in performance [2][3] - The company is one of the few domestic leaders focusing on peptide drugs, with a strong growth trend expected to continue into 2025 [3] - The company has established numerous strategic partnerships, enhancing its customer resource base [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.625 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 404 million yuan, up 148.19% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 566 million yuan, a growth of 58.96%, and a net profit of 153 million yuan, an increase of 130.10% [1] - The company's gross margin improved to 67.78% in 2024, up 6.81 percentage points year-on-year [4] Business Segmentation - Revenue from self-selected products in 2024 was 1.129 billion yuan, growing by 79.49%, while customized products and technical services generated 494 million yuan, up 22.34% [4] - The CDMO/CMO segment generated 473 million yuan, while raw materials and intermediates brought in 944 million yuan [4] - Domestic revenue reached 597 million yuan, a 2.05% increase, while international revenue soared to 1.026 billion yuan, up 129.10% [4] Capacity and Production - The company has modern production bases in Lianyungang and Jiande, with a total capacity of 1.47 million liters [6] - The new 601 workshop for large-scale peptide production has been put into operation, with an expected capacity of 5 tons per year [6] - The company has passed international quality certifications, including EU GMP and US FDA inspections, enhancing its production credibility [6] Profitability Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.175 billion yuan, 2.768 billion yuan, and 3.424 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 562 million yuan, 740 million yuan, and 936 million yuan [8] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 2.56 yuan, 3.37 yuan, and 4.26 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.36, 16.21, and 12.81 [8]