Envicool(002837) 招商证券·2025-04-24 13:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase exceeding 20% compared to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company experienced short-term performance fluctuations due to the timing of order confirmations, but a rich backlog of orders in the data center segment is expected to drive revenue growth recovery [1][2]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.589 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.04%, and a net profit of 453 million yuan, up 31.59% year-on-year [1]. - The company is positioned as a leading provider of platform-based temperature control solutions, with three growth curves resonating: "data center + cabinet + electronic cooling" [8]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.717 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.85%, while Q1 2025 revenue was 933 million yuan, up 25.07% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s inventory balance reached 1.135 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 78.73% compared to the end of 2024 [2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 28.75%, a decrease of 3.60 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in accounting policies and rising commodity prices [4][8]. Business Segments - The data center segment generated revenue of 2.441 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 48.83%, with over 80% expected to come from air-cooled orders [3]. - The cabinet temperature control segment saw revenue of 1.715 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate improvement compared to the first half of 2024 [3]. - The company’s revenue from energy storage temperature control reached nearly 1.5 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22% [3]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 609 million yuan, 816 million yuan, and 1.062 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.82 yuan, 1.10 yuan, and 1.43 yuan [8]. - The expected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 37% for 2025, 27% for 2026, and 25% for 2027 [8].