Workflow
黄金行业动态点评报告:金价上涨逻辑未变,继续看好黄金股
EBSCN·2025-04-24 14:45

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on gold stocks, indicating a continued bullish sentiment towards the gold industry [4]. Core Insights - The logic behind rising gold prices remains unchanged, with a significant increase in gold ETF holdings and a strong desire among global central banks to accumulate gold [2][3]. - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are attributed to geopolitical tensions and the weakening of the US dollar's credit, enhancing gold's monetary attributes [2]. - There is a notable divergence between gold prices and gold stocks, which has historically corrected following periods of price stabilization [3]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Trends - As of April 22, 2025, SHFE gold closed at 831.4 CNY/g and London gold at 3433.6 USD/oz, both reaching historical highs before a slight decline [1]. - By April 23, 2025, prices dropped to 784 CNY/g and 3263 USD/oz, reflecting a decrease of 5.7% and 5% respectively [1]. Investment Demand - Since May 2024, there has been a marked increase in gold investment demand, with global gold ETF holdings rising to approximately 3445.3 tons by the end of March 2025, an increase of 365.6 tons or 12% [2]. - In April 2025, Asian gold ETFs significantly accelerated their purchases, accounting for 47% of the global increase in the week of April 18 [2]. Central Bank Accumulation - Global central banks are expected to continue increasing their gold reserves, with China resuming purchases in November 2024 and accumulating 355.6 tons from January 2022 to March 2025 [3]. - The report highlights that China accounted for approximately 26% of the total global central bank gold purchases during this period [3]. Stock Performance - The report notes that the Shenyin Wanguo gold index PE (TTM) is at 30 times, which is at the 17th percentile since 2010, indicating potential for growth despite short-term price corrections [4]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong earnings elasticity, such as Shandong Gold, Chifeng Gold, Hunan Gold, Zijin Mining, and Shanjin International [4].