祥鑫科技：储能营收同比高增，进军机器人领域-20250425

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 6.744 billion RMB in 2024, representing an 18.25% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 359 million RMB, a decrease of 11.63% year-on-year due to intense competition in the structural components business [1][7]. - The energy storage business is expected to benefit from strong growth in downstream demand, with a projected revenue of 1.217 billion RMB in 2024, a significant increase of 123% year-on-year [3]. - The company is expanding into the humanoid robot sector, which is anticipated to provide substantial growth opportunities [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.866 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.24% and a year-on-year increase of 3.84%. However, the net profit for the same period was 90 million RMB, reflecting a decrease of 30.21% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 14.72%, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase, while the net margin was 4.76%, slightly down by 0.63 percentage points [2]. Business Segments - The energy storage segment is projected to grow significantly, with a major contract worth 300-400 million RMB expected to support revenue in 2025 [3]. - The new energy vehicle segment is forecasted to generate 3.813 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, a 4% increase year-on-year, although the gross margin is expected to decline by 6 percentage points due to increased competition [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on global expansion, with plans to invest in a subsidiary in Thailand and leverage its factory in Mexico to integrate into the North American automotive supply chain [4]. - Collaborations with research institutions for the development of key components for humanoid robots are underway, indicating a strategic move into a high-potential market [4]. Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 456 million RMB and 534 million RMB, respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 700 million RMB. The target price is set at 62.44 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 28 times for 2025 [5][9].