Workflow
上海银行(601229):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:息差韧性超预期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 shows a slight positive growth, with revenue increasing by 3.8% year-on-year, although the growth rate has slowed by 0.9 percentage points compared to 2024 [2][4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company grew by 2.3% year-on-year, with a deceleration of 2.2 percentage points compared to 2024 [2][4] - The bank's net interest margin improved on a quarter-on-quarter basis, reaching 1.14% in Q1 2025, an increase of 11 basis points from Q4 2024, primarily due to a reduction in funding costs [3][4] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.18% at the end of Q1 2025, consistent with the end of 2024, indicating an improvement in asset quality [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue was 13,597 million, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [13] - The net interest income for Q1 2025 was 8,324 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [13] - The bank's total assets reached 3,270,765 million at the end of Q1 2025, marking a 3.7% increase year-on-year [13] Dividend Policy - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 was 31.22%, which is an increase of 0.54 percentage points compared to the mid-2024 payout ratio and 1.16 percentage points compared to the 2023 payout ratio [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is 24,091 million, with a year-on-year growth of 2.25% [12][14] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 12.43 yuan per share, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.70 for 2025, indicating an upside potential of 18% from the current price [6][12]