宏观预期反复扰动，有色品种震荡修复

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintain Rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - The macroeconomic expectations are fluctuating, leading to a rebound in the prices of non-ferrous metals, with copper and aluminum continuing to deplete inventories [4][11] - Gold prices have reached historical highs due to increased safe-haven demand, although recent political developments have caused volatility [5][19] - The market sentiment for tin has improved due to easing trade tensions between the US and China, with prices showing a strong upward trend [39] Summary by Sections 1. Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper: Prices have continued to rise, with the Shanghai copper closing at 77,480 CNY/ton, supported by inventory depletion and stable demand [4][11] - Aluminum: Prices have increased, with the Shanghai aluminum closing at 19,970 CNY/ton, driven by improved market confidence and reduced inventories [15][18] - Precious Metals: As of April 24, the average price of gold was 801.08 CNY/gram, up 4.12% from the previous week, while silver averaged 8,198 CNY/kg, up 1.43% [5][19] 2. Minor Metals - Tin: The price closed at 31,500 USD/ton, up 540 USD/ton (1.74%) from the previous week, with improved macro sentiment and easing supply concerns [39] - Lithium: Prices remain under pressure due to weak demand, with industrial-grade lithium averaging 570,000 CNY/ton [31] - Cobalt: Prices for cobalt concentrate remain stable, while electrolytic cobalt prices have seen slight adjustments [34][35] 3. Rare Earths - Prices for light rare earths have decreased, with neodymium-praseodymium oxide down 2.5% to 406,000 CNY/ton, but long-term demand remains strong [6] 4. Tungsten - Prices for tungsten have increased due to tightening supply, with black tungsten concentrate averaging 147,000 CNY/ton [45][46] 5. Molybdenum - The molybdenum market has shown signs of recovery, with prices for molybdenum concentrate rising to 3,355 CNY/ton [53][54]