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乘用车、智能化4月报:3月产批零符合预期,华为ADS4迈向L3新征程-20250427
Soochow Securities·2025-04-27 10:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, particularly focusing on AI intelligence and robotics as key investment themes for 2025 [5]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a significant increase in production and sales, with March 2025 showing a production volume of 2.481 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% and a month-on-month increase of 42.9% [4][13]. - The penetration rates for intelligent components in new energy vehicles are on the rise, with notable increases in DLP/ADB headlights and HUD systems [3]. - The report highlights the growth of intelligent driving systems, particularly in urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) levels, with a penetration rate of 18.3% in March 2025, reflecting a clear upward trend [48]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Tracking - March 2025 saw a wholesale sales volume of 2.412 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.2% and a month-on-month increase of 36.5% [4][13]. - The report notes a significant increase in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles, with wholesale penetration at 46.8% and retail penetration at 53.0% [26][24]. - The overall market for autonomous driving is evolving, with major players like Huawei and Xiaopeng leading in urban NOA deployment [76]. Intelligent Component Tracking - The report indicates that the penetration rates for high-end intelligent components are increasing, with DLP/ADB headlights at 0.74% and HUD systems at 17.88% [3]. - The report also tracks the performance of various intelligent driving systems, noting that the penetration rate for urban NOA has reached 18.3% [48]. New Energy Vehicle Tracking - The penetration rate for new energy vehicles in March 2025 was reported at 53.0%, with significant growth in both wholesale and retail sales [26][24]. - The report highlights a shift in sales distribution across different price segments, with lower price segments seeing a decline in market share while higher segments are gaining traction [30]. Autonomous Brand Tracking - The report notes a decline in the market share of domestic brands, with wholesale market share at 66.0% and retail market share at 62.9% [42]. - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape, with brands like Wanjie and Xiaopeng showing strong performance in intelligent driving penetration [57]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main investment themes for 2025: AI intelligence and robotics, with specific stock recommendations for both passenger vehicles and component manufacturers [5]. - Key recommended stocks include Xiaopeng Motors, Li Auto, and BYD in the A-share market, and Horizon Robotics and Desay SV in the component sector [5].