KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-04-27 10:23Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The Chinese traditional medicine sector is expected to experience a relative recovery in 2025, with opportunities in key lines and individual stocks [4][12] - The overall market demand is gradually recovering due to the end of the pandemic and the impact of influenza, leading to a high base and inventory digestion pressure in 2024 [4][12] - The State Council's March 2025 document supports the quality improvement of traditional Chinese medicine, which is expected to stimulate innovation and commercialization of high-quality products [5][13] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - In April 2025, the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector rose by 1.16%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.77 percentage points [6][15] - The medical research outsourcing sector saw the largest increase of 6.34%, while the vaccine sector experienced the largest decline of 3.78% [20][21] Investment Opportunities - Four main investment lines are identified: 1. Innovative R&D-focused companies with strong capabilities, benefiting from accelerated approvals and optimized procurement, recommended stocks include Fangsheng Pharmaceutical, Yuyuan Pharmaceutical, Tianshili, and Yiling Pharmaceutical [5][14] 2. State-owned enterprises undergoing operational efficiency improvements, recommended stocks include Dong'e Ejiao, Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical, and Kunming Pharmaceutical [5][14] 3. Companies with strong brand power and relatively scarce products, recommended stocks include Zoli Pharmaceutical and Lingrui Pharmaceutical [5][14] 4. Companies experiencing turnaround and valuation recovery, recommended stock includes Jichuan Pharmaceutical [5][14] Market Performance - The traditional Chinese medicine sector has faced pressure since the pandemic, but the situation is expected to improve in 2025 as macro disturbances ease [4][12] - The price index of traditional Chinese medicine materials has been declining since mid-July 2024, which is expected to alleviate the gross margin pressure on companies in 2025 [5][12]