交运平台高增长，进入利润兑现期

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - High-growth companies in ride-hailing, digital freight, and instant delivery platforms are expected to achieve revenue growth of around 20%, with operating profits increasing significantly. Companies like Manbang Group and Meituan are projected to have a PE ratio below 20 times in 2025, making them attractive investments [3] - As the competitive landscape stabilizes, stable sales, management, and R&D expenses are expected to lead to substantial growth in operating profits. Companies like Manbang Group, Meituan, and SF Express are anticipated to see their operating profits double in 2024, with continued rapid growth thereafter [4] - The rising penetration rates in ride-hailing, digital freight, and instant delivery are expected to drive revenue and gross profit growth of around 30% for companies like Manbang Group, Meituan, and SF Express in 2024. Manbang Group's monetization rate is expected to increase, leading to a gross profit growth rate of 42% in 2024 [5] Summary by Sections Growth Logic - The growth in profits is driven by revenue growth, market expansion, and decreasing expense ratios. Companies with faster revenue growth and declining expense ratios are likely to see quicker profit growth, particularly in the cross-city digital freight sector, where Manbang Group is expected to experience high profit growth [14][16][17] High Growth in Express Delivery, Ride-Hailing, and International Air Transport - In early 2025, most transportation modes are experiencing low growth in volume, while international air transport, express delivery, and ride-hailing are seeing faster growth [11] Head Companies' Profit Growth - In 2024, leading companies in ride-hailing, freight platforms, and instant delivery are expected to see high growth in operating profits, with Didi Chuxing turning profitable. The gross profits of these companies are also expected to grow, although at a slower rate than operating profits [23] Operating Leverage - The increase in operating profit growth is attributed to a decline in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, which enhances operating profit margins. As leading companies solidify their positions, these expenses are expected to stabilize [28][31] Revenue Growth Driven by Business Volume - The revenue growth of leading companies is primarily driven by an increase in business volume, with many companies expected to outpace industry growth rates in 2024 [39][41] Market Penetration Rate Increase - The market penetration rates for various sectors are on the rise, leading to revenue growth that exceeds overall market growth. This trend is particularly evident in ride-hailing, digital freight, and instant delivery sectors [44] Monetization Rate - Manbang Group's monetization rate is significantly increasing, contributing to faster revenue growth compared to competitors like Uber and Didi Chuxing, whose monetization rates are stabilizing [49]