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财政发力更加积极,稳内需诉求进一步提升
Tianfeng Securities·2025-04-27 10:44

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes a more proactive fiscal policy and a demand for stabilizing domestic consumption, with a focus on accelerating the issuance and utilization of local government special bonds and ultra-long-term special treasury bonds [2][13] - The construction sector is expected to benefit from improved infrastructure investment, particularly in the central and western regions of China, as well as from cyclical opportunities in related sectors [2][30] - The report highlights a recovery in operational rates and an increase in new orders from central and state-owned enterprises, indicating an upward trend in construction activity [20][24] Summary by Sections Fiscal Policy and Economic Outlook - The April 25 Politburo meeting stressed the need for more active macroeconomic policies, including the use of fiscal and monetary tools to support the real economy [2][13] - The meeting also indicated a commitment to stabilizing the real estate market and enhancing local government investment capabilities [13][15] Market Performance - The construction index rose by 0.56% during the week of April 21-25, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.16 percentage points [4][25] - Key stocks that performed well included Hanjia Design (+31%), Sanwei Chemical (+22%), and Meichen Technology (+16%) [25][30] Investment Recommendations - Focus on traditional construction blue-chip stocks and cyclical opportunities in infrastructure, particularly in water conservancy, railways, and aviation projects [30][31] - Recommendations include high-performing local state-owned enterprises such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, Zhejiang Communications, and Anhui Construction [30][31] - Attention is also drawn to emerging business directions such as computing power and cleanroom investments, as well as the semiconductor sector [32][33]