Fujian Yuanli Active Carbon (300174) 民生证券·2025-04-27 14:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [5][7]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 was CNY 1.883 billion, a decrease of 6.57% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 284 million, an increase of 19.95% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 434 million, down 7.14% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 47 million, down 39.66% year-on-year [1]. - The company is the largest producer of wood-based activated carbon in China, with a production capacity that covers key timber processing areas [3]. - The activated carbon production reached 147,927 tons in 2024, up 18.02% year-on-year, with sales of 150,200 tons, an increase of 17.86% year-on-year [3]. - The sodium silicate segment saw a significant decline in production and sales, with a 40.70% drop in production to 199,183 tons and a 46.66% decrease in revenue to CNY 322 million [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with a new 0.25 million-ton activated carbon production line launched in Q1 2025 [3]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 2.159 billion, CNY 2.490 billion, and CNY 2.883 billion, respectively, with growth rates of 14.7%, 15.3%, and 15.8% [5][6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 290 million in 2025, CNY 344 million in 2026, and CNY 411 million in 2027, with growth rates of 1.8%, 18.7%, and 19.6% [5][6]. - The report indicates a PE ratio of 19X for 2025, decreasing to 13X by 2027, reflecting the company's improving profitability and growth prospects [5][6].