CEVIA(SZ:000885) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-04-28 02:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in operational business and a gradual increase in dividends. The performance for 2024 and Q1 2025 aligns with expectations, with total revenue of 6.611 billion yuan in 2024 (up 1.36% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.141 billion yuan (up 6.18% year-on-year) [6] - The company is actively expanding its waste incineration operations and enhancing sanitation services, with a significant increase in waste volume and energy generation. The company is also exploring resource recovery initiatives [6] - The water supply model in Xinyang is being successfully implemented and is expected to be replicated in other regions, with multiple wastewater projects being awarded [6] - The highway operations remain stable, with ongoing feasibility studies for potential upgrades [6] - Although operating cash flow has decreased, capital expenditures have significantly dropped, allowing for an increase in dividends [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to be 6.740 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.0% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.187 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 4.0% year-on-year increase [5] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 1.85 yuan in 2025, with a gross margin of 41.0% [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 12.6% in 2025 [5] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 8 in 2025, decreasing to 7 in subsequent years [5]