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光伏行业周报(20250421-20250427):东南亚四国双反终裁税率公布,边际影响或有限-20250428
Huachuang Securities·2025-04-28 02:59

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the photovoltaic industry, indicating limited marginal impact from recent developments [1]. Core Insights - The final anti-dumping and countervailing duty rates announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce for solar cells imported from four Southeast Asian countries (Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam) have generally increased, with some companies facing punitive rates exceeding 3000% due to non-compliance during investigations [1][11][12]. - Despite the increased duty rates, the marginal impact is expected to be limited as companies have already adjusted their export strategies to mitigate risks, and the U.S. remains reliant on imported solar cells due to insufficient domestic production capacity [2][12]. Industry Price Trends Main Material Segment - The average price of polysilicon dense material is reported at 40.0 CNY/kg, and granular material at 38.0 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week [3][37]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm monocrystalline P-type silicon wafers is 1.15 CNY/piece, also stable, while N-type wafers have seen price decreases of up to 6.9% [3][38]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm monocrystalline PERC cells is 0.295 CNY/W, down 1.7% from the previous week [3][43]. Auxiliary Material Segment - The price of 3.2mm coated photovoltaic glass is stable at 22.25 CNY/m², and 2.0mm coated glass at 14.25 CNY/m² [4][53]. - Prices for transparent EVA film, white EVA film, and POE film remain unchanged at 6.14 CNY/m², 6.64 CNY/m², and 8.51 CNY/m² respectively [4][53]. Market Performance Overview Industry and Stock Performance - The overall industry index increased by 0.59%, with the electric equipment sector rising by 2.40% [14][15]. - The top-performing stocks in the electric equipment sector include Fangzheng Electric (+28.20%) and Saimo Intelligent (+19.18%), while Qingdao Zhongcheng saw a significant decline of -20.50% [20][22]. PE Valuation - As of April 25, the electric equipment sector has a PE (TTM) of 23x, with the photovoltaic equipment sector at 17x [25][29]. - The PE valuation percentile for the electric equipment sector is 17.5%, indicating its relative valuation compared to historical data [30][33].