有色金属行业双周报：黄金价格续创新高，关注战略小金属投资机会-20250428

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, highlighting strong performance in precious and industrial metals [5][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recent surge in gold prices, reaching new highs, and suggests focusing on strategic minor metal investment opportunities due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain dynamics [5][23]. - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 2.43% over the past two weeks, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.46 percentage points [2][13]. Summary by Sections Market Review (April 14 - April 25, 2025) - The non-ferrous metals industry index rose by 2.43%, ranking 11th among 31 sectors, with energy metals (4.34%), industrial metals (3.84%), and precious metals (1.74%) leading the gains [2][13]. Precious Metals - As of April 25, COMEX gold closed at $3,330.20 per ounce, up 2.31% over two weeks and 24.67% year-to-date. COMEX silver closed at $33.34 per ounce, up 3.56% over two weeks and 11.19% year-to-date [3][22]. - The report notes that geopolitical risks and monetary policy changes are driving gold prices, with a recent peak above $3,400 per ounce [23][24]. Industrial Metals - LME copper settled at $9,364 per ton, up 2.00% over two weeks and 7.81% year-to-date. LME aluminum closed at $2,412 per ton, up 5.56% over two weeks but down 4.89% year-to-date [30][33]. - The report attributes copper's recent price increase to easing tariff policies and strong demand from the renewable energy sector [30][34]. Minor Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) was priced at 146,000 CNY per ton, up 1.74% over two weeks and 2.28% year-to-date. LME tin was priced at $31,975 per ton, up 1.52% over two weeks and 12.35% year-to-date [37][41]. - Antimony prices are experiencing high volatility due to supply constraints and strong demand from the photovoltaic sector [38][39]. Rare Earths - The rare earth price index was 171.62, down 5.28% over two weeks but up 4.79% year-to-date. Prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide fell by 5.14% over two weeks [50][51]. - The report indicates that recent export control policies are impacting market dynamics, with demand from new energy sectors remaining strong [51]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are stable, with electrolytic cobalt averaging 240,500 CNY per ton, up 2.78% over two weeks and 41.06% year-to-date. Sulfuric cobalt (≥20.5%) averaged 49,375 CNY per ton, up 0.05% over two weeks [58][59]. - The report highlights cobalt's critical role in electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy technologies [58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on strategic minor metals due to changing supply dynamics and geopolitical factors, recommending companies involved in these sectors [5][51].