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斯菱股份(301550):业绩符合预期,布局机器人打开发展空间

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is expected to show a revenue of 770 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 190 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27% [1] - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with production bases in Xinchang and Thailand, which will support future performance growth [2] - The establishment of a robotics division is aimed at capitalizing on the upcoming growth in the robotics industry, with products like harmonic reducers and actuator modules being developed [2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 was 738 million yuan, with a projected increase to 774 million yuan in 2024, and further growth to 952 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 23% from 2024 to 2025 [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 150 million yuan in 2023 to 190 million yuan in 2024, and to 218 million yuan in 2025, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] - The company's gross margin is projected to be 32.5% in 2024, slightly up from 32.1% in 2023, while the net margin is expected to increase to 24.5% in 2024 from 20.3% in 2023 [4] Future Earnings Forecast - The forecasted net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 218 million yuan, 259 million yuan, and 347 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 53, 45, and 33 times [2][4]